Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Techniques by Richards J. Heuer & Randolph H. Pherson

Author:Richards J. Heuer & Randolph H. Pherson [Heuer, Richards J.]
Language: eng
Format: mobi
Published: 0101-01-01T00:00:00+00:00

8.1 KEY ASSUMPTIONS CHECK

Analytic judgment is always based on a combination of evidence and assumptions, or preconceptions, which influence how the evidence is interpreted.2 The Key Assumptions Check is a systematic effort to make explicit and question the assumptions (the mental model) that guide an analyst’s interpretation of evidence and reasoning about any particular problem. Such assumptions are usually necessary and unavoidable as a means of filling gaps in the incomplete, ambiguous, and sometimes deceptive information with which the analyst must work. They are driven by the analyst’s education, training, and experience, plus the organizational context in which the analyst works.

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